Why Everything Is Selling Off (Starting With Bitcoin)
By Andrei Jikh
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AI Summary of "Why Everything Is Selling Off (Starting With Bitcoin)"
Get instant insights and key takeaways from this YouTube video by Andrei Jikh.
Market Correction and Bitcoin as a Leading Indicator
š The current market sell-off, particularly in AI stocks and Bitcoin, suggests a major correction is underway, with Bitcoin acting as a leading indicator for broader market movements.
š Technical analysis suggests that when Bitcoin's price falls below the 50-week moving average (which was around $13,000), the bull cycle is considered over.
š
Based on historical patterns, the next all-time low for Bitcoin in this cycle might occur around October 5th, 2026 (364 days from the last all-time high on October 6th of this year).
Explanations for Market Decline: Technical vs. Macro Forces
š The market behavior is analyzed through two primary forces: Technical Analysis (chart patterns) and Macro Analysis (geopolitics, central bank policy, global liquidity).
šÆšµ A major macro factor is the change in global liquidity due to rising interest rates in Japan, which diminishes the incentive for the carry trade (borrowing Yen cheaply to invest elsewhere), leading investors to pull money from dollar assets.
šļø The Federal Reserve ending Quantitative Tightening (QT) on December 1st is perceived negatively by investors, suggesting underlying fragility in the financial system, causing risk assets like Nvidia and Bitcoin to sell off.
Alternative Theories for Bitcoin Volatility
š¾ A human psychology/internal theory suggests Bitcoin investors are selling due to controversy over the OP_RETURN update, which allows larger data to be attached to transactions, potentially co-opting Bitcoin from its core function as just "money."
š° The "IPO moment" theory posits that early Bitcoin investors, now able to cash out significant amounts (e.g., a reported $9 billion sale processed by Galaxy Digital), are transferring wealth to the masses, facilitated by new demand from ETFs and institutional buyers.
Key Points & Insights
ā”ļø Bitcoin is serving as the "canary in the coal mine" because its high liquidity allows investors to sell easily before traditional markets react.
ā”ļø The author is personally not selling Bitcoin or long-term stocks, continuing to dollar-cost average (DCA) regardless of market uncertainty.
ā”ļø Historical analysis suggests a potential Bitcoin all-time low around October 2026, based on the repeating 150-day (low-to-high) and 364-day (high-to-low) cycle durations.
ā”ļø Consider the impact of global liquidity shifts, specifically Japan's interest rate changes, as a significant, often overlooked, macro driver affecting asset prices.
šø Video summarized with SummaryTube.com on Nov 22, 2025, 22:55 UTC
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šTranscript
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šVideo Description
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The Crypto Crash Isn't What You Think
āŗ Apply for the Gemini Credit Card: http://gemini.com/andrei
#GeminiCreditCard #CryptoRewards This video is sponsored by Gemini. All opinions expressed by the content creator are their own and not influenced or endorsed by Gemini.
The Gemini Credit Card is issued by WebBank. For more information regarding fees, interest, and other cost information, see Rates & Fees: gemini.com/legal/cardholder-agreement.
Some exclusions apply to instant rewards in which rewards are deposited when the transaction posts. All qualifying purchases under the 4% back category earn 4% back on up to $300 in spend per month (then 1% thereafter in that month). Spend cycle will refresh on the 1st of each calendar month. See Rewards Program Terms for details: gemini.com/legal/credit-card-rewards-agreement.
Analysis reflects Gemini Credit Card holders who earned bitcoin rewards between 10/08/2021 and 10/05/2024 and held all such rewards in their Gemini account through 10/05/2025. Calculation is based on bitcoin market value changes during the holding period. Individual results will vary depending on spend behavior, chosen rewards currency, holding duration, and market performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This information is for general informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
āŗ My Stock Portfolio + Tracker https://www.brrrr.ai
āŗ How To Protect Your Bitcoin (step by step), use Code "ANDREI40" to get 40% off https://stan.store/andreijikh
āŗ Where I Buy My Bitcoin: https://gemini.sjv.io/7a0OL5
āŗ How I went from Zero To A Million: https://www.zerotoamillion.com
āŗ Ledger Discount Link: https://shop.ledger.com/pages/black-friday-andrei-jikh?r=535643c13ab0
āŗ My Stock Portfolio + Stock Tracker: https://www.brrrr.ai
āŗ Open A Roth IRA:
āŗ Follow Me On Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/andreijikh/
āŗ How I Protect My Bitcoin: https://shop.ledger.com/pages/ledger-nano-x?r=535643c13ab0
My PO Box:
Andrei Jikh
4132 S. Rainbow Blvd # 270
Las Vegas, NV 89103
DISCLOSURE: None of this is meant to be construed as investment advice, it's for entertainment purposes only. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites. The video is accurate as of the posting date but may not be accurate in the future.
You should not treat any opinion expressed on this Youtube channel as a specific inducement to make a particular investment or follow a particular strategy, but only as an expression of opinion. Opinions expressed are based upon information considered reliable, but this Youtube channel does not warrant its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. This Youtube channel is not under any obligation to update or correct any information provided in these videos. Statements and opinions are subject to change without notice. No compensation is received by this Youtube channel for the opinions expressed.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. This Youtube channel does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any strategy or investment discussed on this Youtube channel. Strategies or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value. Investors may get back less than invested. Investments or strategies mentioned on this Youtube channel may not be suitable for you. This material does not take into account your particular investment objectives, financial situation or needs and is not intended as recommendations appropriate for you. You must make an independent decision regarding investments or strategies mentioned on this Youtube channel. Before acting on information on this Youtube channel, you should consider whether it is suitable for your particular circumstances and strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment adviser.
Full video URL: youtube.com/watch?v=NI-SdF1hG8M
Duration: 18:48
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AI Summary of "Why Everything Is Selling Off (Starting With Bitcoin)"
Get instant insights and key takeaways from this YouTube video by Andrei Jikh.
Market Correction and Bitcoin as a Leading Indicator
š The current market sell-off, particularly in AI stocks and Bitcoin, suggests a major correction is underway, with Bitcoin acting as a leading indicator for broader market movements.
š Technical analysis suggests that when Bitcoin's price falls below the 50-week moving average (which was around $13,000), the bull cycle is considered over.
š
Based on historical patterns, the next all-time low for Bitcoin in this cycle might occur around October 5th, 2026 (364 days from the last all-time high on October 6th of this year).
Explanations for Market Decline: Technical vs. Macro Forces
š The market behavior is analyzed through two primary forces: Technical Analysis (chart patterns) and Macro Analysis (geopolitics, central bank policy, global liquidity).
šÆšµ A major macro factor is the change in global liquidity due to rising interest rates in Japan, which diminishes the incentive for the carry trade (borrowing Yen cheaply to invest elsewhere), leading investors to pull money from dollar assets.
šļø The Federal Reserve ending Quantitative Tightening (QT) on December 1st is perceived negatively by investors, suggesting underlying fragility in the financial system, causing risk assets like Nvidia and Bitcoin to sell off.
Alternative Theories for Bitcoin Volatility
š¾ A human psychology/internal theory suggests Bitcoin investors are selling due to controversy over the OP_RETURN update, which allows larger data to be attached to transactions, potentially co-opting Bitcoin from its core function as just "money."
š° The "IPO moment" theory posits that early Bitcoin investors, now able to cash out significant amounts (e.g., a reported $9 billion sale processed by Galaxy Digital), are transferring wealth to the masses, facilitated by new demand from ETFs and institutional buyers.
Key Points & Insights
ā”ļø Bitcoin is serving as the "canary in the coal mine" because its high liquidity allows investors to sell easily before traditional markets react.
ā”ļø The author is personally not selling Bitcoin or long-term stocks, continuing to dollar-cost average (DCA) regardless of market uncertainty.
ā”ļø Historical analysis suggests a potential Bitcoin all-time low around October 2026, based on the repeating 150-day (low-to-high) and 364-day (high-to-low) cycle durations.
ā”ļø Consider the impact of global liquidity shifts, specifically Japan's interest rate changes, as a significant, often overlooked, macro driver affecting asset prices.
šø Video summarized with SummaryTube.com on Nov 22, 2025, 22:55 UTC
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As an Amazon Associate, we earn from qualifying purchases
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